Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007632 0.008573 0.009602 0.010810 0.012194 0.013733 0.015580
2025-02-02 0.006356 0.007689 0.009272 0.011302 0.013853 0.016972 0.021111
2025-02-09 0.005447 0.006911 0.008748 0.011242 0.014577 0.018932 0.025129
2025-02-16 0.004871 0.006423 0.008457 0.011354 0.015434 0.021062 0.029570
2025-02-23 0.004339 0.005905 0.008035 0.011192 0.015837 0.022554 0.033254
2025-03-02 0.004005 0.005610 0.007866 0.011335 0.016651 0.024686 0.038139
2025-03-09 0.003665 0.005263 0.007577 0.011251 0.017089 0.026269 0.042349
2025-03-16 0.003279 0.004809 0.007080 0.010786 0.016860 0.026747 0.044762
2025-03-23 0.003046 0.004561 0.006866 0.010732 0.017270 0.028290 0.049199
2025-03-30 0.002962 0.004533 0.006986 0.011221 0.018625 0.031580 0.057265
2025-04-06 0.002713 0.004222 0.006625 0.010868 0.018482 0.032204 0.060371
2025-04-13 0.002501 0.003955 0.006313 0.010566 0.018390 0.032895 0.063689
2025-04-20 0.002353 0.003787 0.006163 0.010555 0.018866 0.034781 0.069920
2025-04-27 0.002298 0.003772 0.006273 0.011024 0.020307 0.038757 0.081375
2025-05-04 0.002163 0.003609 0.006109 0.010966 0.020713 0.040695 0.088644
2025-05-11 0.002066 0.003503 0.006038 0.011075 0.021460 0.043439 0.098302
2025-05-18 0.001941 0.003337 0.005841 0.010917 0.021634 0.044958 0.105253
2025-05-25 0.001866 0.003257 0.005797 0.011056 0.022450 0.048017 0.116710
2025-06-01 0.001769 0.003129 0.005652 0.010975 0.022773 0.049984 0.125685
2025-06-08 0.001636 0.002923 0.005342 0.010522 0.022216 0.049784 0.128668
2025-06-15 0.001559 0.002820 0.005226 0.010470 0.022567 0.051846 0.138516
2025-06-22 0.001545 0.002838 0.005349 0.010945 0.024208 0.057383 0.159898
2025-06-29 0.001447 0.002683 0.005112 0.010602 0.023844 0.057683 0.165234